Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Technology, Equity and Equality in Education



The Paradox in Education


Future Education

If the future of education offers teachers, books, conversation, and critical thinking for some, and algorithms, robots, and screens for others, technology will not have closed educational gaps - it will have institutionalized them.



By Maria Mercedes Mateo-Berganza Diaz

Teachers and books for the rich, robots and screens for the poor?




When we talk about technology for education we think of tablets, laptops, robots or interactive platforms with which children learn new (coding) or traditional skills (mathematics) better or faster.

Raised like this, it seems inevitable to imagine that students or higher income schools have the most access to this type of resources.  But, what would happen if access to technology in the coming years is not a privilege, but the cheapest way to access educational services?

Thus began an article recently published in The New York Times: "Hypocrisy thrives at the Waldorf School of the Peninsula in the heart of Silicon Valley.  This is where Google executives send their children to learn how to knit, write with chalk on blackboards, practice new words by playing catch with a beanbag and fractions by cutting up quesadillas and apples.  There are no screens — not a single piece of interactive, multimedia, educational content. The kids don’t even take standardized tests(...)".

Surprising, isn’t it?

Latin America and the Caribbean is investing more and more in technological equipment and digital resources to close the skills gap in the labor market and the learning gap between high and low income students.

By contrasting these efforts with the New York Times description of how the most privileged learn, it is worth wondering whether technology, after all, could potentially increase inequality in skills and learning.

The lessons that matter the most

One of the core objectives of education systems is to promote learning that prepares children and youth not only for the labor market, but also to contribute to create more prosperous societies.  It is known that to access good jobs, a combination of technical skills and soft skills is required.  This is nothing new.  What is changing is the relative distribution of both.  Although cognitive skills are still strongly related to results in the labor market (in terms of participation and income), their importance has been falling in the last two decades, while returns to soft skills have been increasing.

This trend is not accidental: to survive in the world of automation, it is a priority to teach young people what machines cannot do, because jobs that require imagination, creativity and strategy are more difficult to computerize.

An interesting fact comes from a study conducted by Google in 2013 to understand if their recruitment strategy focused on "hard skills" in computer science was appropriate.  The results showed an uncomfortable reality: seven of the eight most important qualities shared by the highest-performing employees were soft skills such as being a good coach, communicating and listening well, knowing their colleagues well, empathy, critical thinking, problem solving, and connecting complex ideas.  The technical competences in STEM fields came in last.   

Learning while knitting: something more than a trend

Faced with this boom of soft skills, learning to knit, write with chalk or practice new words while playing with balls are activities that go beyond a Silicon Valley fashion.

This type of education becomes a strategy to innovate, as the article in the New York Times said: "While Silicon Valley's raison d'être is to create platforms, applications and algorithms to generate maximum efficiency in life and work (a "frictionless" world, as Bill Gates once put it), when it comes to their own families (and also developing their own businesses), the new masters of the universe have a different sense of what it takes to learn and to innovate: it is a slow and indirect process, it is necessary to meander, not run, allow failure and chance, even boredom."

To close the skills gap in the region, we cannot forget the fundamentals behind this approach, but without losing sight of the fact that technological change comes at a galloping pace and offers new possibilities for children and young people.

The New Frontier of Educational Inequality

Today, the question that opens this article is no longer a simple provocation.  The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence—capable of teaching, assessing, providing feedback, and personalizing learning at scale and at very low cost—is redefining what we mean by education and how it is delivered.

Educational technology is increasingly emerging as the most affordable and scalable way to provide educational services, especially in contexts marked by teacher shortages and limited resources.  Automated tutoring, adaptive platforms, and AI-based assistants promise to expand access and close learning gaps.  Yet this same promise carries a profound risk: that machine-mediated education becomes the norm for lower-income students, while more privileged settings continue to invest in deeply human educational experiences—rich in teachers, dialogue, critical thinking, art, philosophy, and time to learn without haste.

The paradox becomes clearer: the more sophisticated the technology, the greater the value of what is human.  And that value is not distributed automatically or equitably.  In a world where algorithms can deliver content, practice skills, and optimize learning pathways, the central question is no longer whether to use technology.  The question is what kind of learning we reserve for whom.  If technology is used to replace—rather than complement or enhance—the pedagogical relationship with teachers, vulnerable contexts risk drifting toward an even more stratified education system: automation for some, humanity for others.

The real challenge, then, is not to incorporate more devices, but to clearly define which learning experiences are non-negotiable for all.  Educational innovation is not about cutting costs through screens, but about ensuring that technology amplifies—rather than substitutes—what makes learning profoundly human.

Because if the future of education offers teachers, books, conversation, and critical thinking for some, and algorithms, robots, and screens for others, technology will not have closed educational gaps—it will have institutionalized them.

Learning to learn again in the age of AI

In April 2025, the IDB released AI and Education: Building the Future Through Digital Transformation, a report that examines the role of artificial intelligence through the lens of what we already know from decades of digital education.

We invite you to explore the IDB’s latest report on Artificial Intelligence and Education, and discover how teachers across Latin America and the Caribbean are already integrating AI into their classrooms — based on new data from CIMA Note #37, drawn from the international TALIS 2024 survey. 

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

So Why Greenland?

$$$: The Private Vision for Greenland

Greenland


By Evanescent Imagery:


Peter Thiel met JD Vance when Vance was a student at Yale University.  Thiel hired Vance out of college to work for his venture capital firm, Mithril Capital.


He then helped Vance to set up his own venture capital firm, Naria Capital, under his umbrella before funding his entire political career.  It was Thiel who arranged the meeting at Mar a Lago between Donald Trump and JD Vance that led to Vance being selected as Trump's running mate.


Peter Thiel and Praxis (led by Dryden Brown) are interested in Greenland as a potential site for a "Network State," a crypto/AI-backed, libertarian digital governance model seeking physical territory to escape traditional regulation and build a privatized, high-tech society, viewing Greenland as a "new frontier" for rapid innovation and "settler-colonial" development.  They aim to create autonomous zones free from existing societal rules, leveraging tech to establish new, privatized governance structures, with Thiel's investment flowing through Pronomos Capital.


Why Greenland?


"New Frontier" Appeal: Its vast, sparsely populated, and undeveloped nature presents an ideal "harsh frontier" for building an experimental society.


Relevance to Trump's Idea: The project gained traction after Donald Trump suggested buying Greenland, aligning with tech-right desires for societal "exits".


Topological Fetishism: It embodies a romanticized idea of the "edge of the world" and unclaimed potential, fitting the libertarian vision.


Praxis's Vision: Network State: A digital-first society with physical outposts, running on crypto, AI, and minimal social/environmental rules.


Privatized Innovation: A libertarian goal to rapidly develop new systems without traditional oversight.


Settler-Colonial Ambitions: The project aims to establish new societies on undeveloped land, a concept often described as settler-colonialism.


Thiel's Involvement: Thiel backs the project through Pronomos Capital, providing significant venture capital for this vision of privatized, tech-driven governance in new territories.


Source / Comment

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

The USA will Withdraw from International Organizations



United States of America


The White House has announced that the United States will withdraw from multiple international organizations, including UN and non-UN (INGO) bodies.


According to the statement, the decision is aimed at protecting U.S. national interests and sovereignty, with the administration claiming that several organizations work against American priorities.

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

The U.S. Department of State List of Visa Bond Countries




Countries Subject to Visa Bonds

Last Updated: January 6, 2026


The Department of State has identified nationals from these countries as needing visa bonds.  The implementation dates are in parentheses:

  • Algeria (January 21, 2026)
  • Angola (January 21, 2026)
  • Antigua and Barbuda (January 21, 2026)
  • Bangladesh (January 21, 2026)
  • Benin (January 21, 2026)
  • Bhutan (January 1, 2026)
  • Botswana (January 1, 2026)
  • Burundi (January 21, 2026)
  • Cabo Verde (January 21, 2026)
  • Central African Republic (January 1, 2026)
  • Cote D’Ivorie (January 21, 2026)
  • Cuba (January 21, 2026)
  • Djibouti (January 21, 2026)
  • Dominica (January 21, 2026)
  • Fiji (January 21, 2026)
  • Gabon (January 21, 2026)
  • The Gambia (October 11, 2025)
  • Guinea (January 1, 2026)
  • Guinea Bissau (January 1, 2026)
  • Kyrgyzstan (January 21, 2026)
  • Malawi (August 20, 2025)
  • Mauritania (October 23, 2025)
  • Namibia (January 1, 2026)
  • Nepal (January 21, 2026)
  • Nigeria (January 21, 2026)
  • Sao Tome and Principe (October 23, 2025)
  • Senegal (January 21, 2026)
  • Tajikistan (January 21, 2026)
  • Tanzania (October 23, 2025)
  • Togo (January 21, 2026)
  • Tonga (January 21, 2026)
  • Turkmenistan (January 1, 2026)
  • Tuvalu (January 21, 2026)
  • Uganda (January 21, 2026)
  • Vanuatu (January 21, 2026)
  • Venezuela (January 21, 2026)
  • Zambia (August 20, 2025) 
  • Zimbabwe (January 21, 2026)

Visa Bond requirements are outlined in INA Section 221(g)(3) and the Temporary Final Rule (TFR) establishing the pilot program.  Visa overstay rates are based on the B1/B2 overstay rates per the Department of Homeland Security’s Entry/Exit Overstay Report.

Any citizen or national traveling on a passport issued by one of these countries, who is found otherwise eligible for a B1/B2 visa, must post a bond for $5,000, $10,000, or $15,000.  The amount is determined at the time of the visa interview.  The applicant must also submit a Department of Homeland Security Form I-352.  Applicants must agree to the terms of the bond through the Department of the Treasury’s online payment platform Pay.gov.  This requirement applies regardless of place of application.

Applicants should submit Form I-352 to post a bond only after a consular officer directs them to do so.  Applicants will receive a direct link to pay through Pay.gov.  They must not use any third-party website for posting the bond.  The U.S. Government is not responsible for any money paid outside of its systems.

A bond does not guarantee visa issuance.  If someone pays fees without a consular officer’s direction, the fees will not be returned.

Required ports of entry

As a condition of the bond, all visa holders who have posted a visa bond must enter and exit the United States through the designated ports of entry listed below.  Not doing this might lead to a denied entry or a departure that is not properly recorded:

  • Boston Logan International Airport (BOS) (August 20, 2025)
  • John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK) (August 20, 2025)
  • Washington Dulles International Airport (IAD) (August 20, 2025)

Visa bond compliance

Visa Bond terms are set on the bond form (Department of Homeland Security’s Form I-352 Immigration Bonds) and on Travel.State.Gov.  The bond will be canceled and the money returned automatically in these situations:

  • The Department of Homeland Security records the visa holder’s departure from the United States on or before the date to which they are authorized to stay in the United States, or
  • The visa holder does not travel to the United States before the expiration of the visa, or
  • The visa holder applies for and is denied admission at the U.S. port of entry.

Visa bond breach

The Department of Homeland Security will send cases where the visa holder may have broken the visa bond terms to the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS).  This is to determine if there was a breach.  It includes, but is not limited to, these situations:

  • The Department of Homeland Security records indicate that the visa holder departed from the United States after the date to which he or she is authorized to stay in the United States.
  • The visa holder stays in the United States after the date to which he or she is authorized to do so and does not leave.
  • The visa holder applies to adjust out of nonimmigrant status, including claiming asylum.

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Pax Americana is Over?



Pax Americana is Over


German Chancellor Warns Pax Americana Is Over and Europe Is Entering a More Dangerous Era


Germany’s chancellor warned of a “fundamental change” in the transatlantic relationship, and said Europeans should act as if the “decades of Pax Americana” are “largely over.”  He argued that Europe is “not at war,” but “no longer simply living in peace,” and warned that if Ukraine falls, “Putin won’t stop.”


Source / Comment

Friday, November 28, 2025

The Good, Bad and Ugly Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI), and Social Media on Humanity

 

The Expanding Influence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Social Media on Human Life and Culture




By Professor Gilbert Morris
Nassau, N.P., The Bahamas


LET’S STOP UNINFORMED NONSENSE; SOCIAL MEDIA AND AI ARE A THREAT TO HUMAN EXISTENCE!

How do sane people read this and compare it to the printing press or people’s fear of technologies?

That is mere duffus barking!  This is different.  It was possible to get away from those technologies.

No one became addicted to their wrench, sewing machine or their refrigerator or their lawnmower.  These technologies did not have the capacity to give some unknown person or system access to one’s life and nor have they capacities to manipulate one’s opinion on nearly every aspect of life.  The scale of the impact of the automobile, the telephone and the airplane was they they did not replace everyday repetitive or creative tasks; with the capacity to retain personal data.

Social media and Artificial intelligence are different in every respect and represent both opportunities to build a good society - as my colleagues Daniel Schmachtenberger, Tristan Harris and Audrey Tang are trying to do - and yet because of the power relations of our social, political and economic models, they pose a virulent existential risk; if only because we are stupid enough to misread the doltish pleasures it gives us - for now - whilst ignoring what it’s done already, what it’s doing and will do.

Social media was not designed by techies - who are often brainless about psychology and sociology - it was designed by cognitive neuroscientists and game theorists on the psychology of girls 13-27. (This is not new as sociologist Thorstein Veblen, Max Weber and Edward Bernays built the social and legal models for the Industrial Revolution).

Now at one end: it’s Peter Theil, Mark Andreessen and Curtis Yarin and at another Nick Bostrom, Josha Bach and the social media and AI Leviathans.

Why did they premise the psychology of girls and young women?  Because that demographic is the most powerful, most attractive, most consistent seekers of attention in human history.  Anything pitched to that demographic sells.

Mothers dote on them, fathers adore them…all men - even wicked ones - want them and they become promiscuous attention seekers almost naturally.

Get them to adopt a trend and it becomes a fad that is monetisable.

In the attention economy, they all get to act like celebrities talking bogus nonsense about “boundaries” and “my followers”, 80% of whom are BOTS!

At universities, we are seeing psychological derangements and dissonances…a child at 18 gets 25,000 followers for nothing; no talent, not gifts, no accomplishments.  She naturally thinks it’s her essence, when she has none!

One or two such “influencers” get “brand deals”, and lots more get meaningless package giveaways…and material greed merges with dopamine rushes to entice and enthuse these female youth into an obsession with social media, now powered by AI…not merely to engage…but to capture their psychologies and render than automatons for the social media companies.

This heralds two things in general:

1. For girls, every day there is another 10 million 18 years olds who awaken and are prepared to get naked in social media, so at least for a time, gaining popularity over the previous 18 year olds.  Moreover, social media is one massive dating site in which 80% of the women - convinced that they are 10 (tens) - their term, not mine - prefer only 3% of men, who want none of them, except for “hookups”; this generating unfulfillable expectations, leading to anxieties.

Additionally, take ONLYFANS.  Of the 10 million 18-25 year olds in America, over 1 million are on OnlyFans; so 10% of marriageable aged women, with 80% of the audience as white married males.

That means those marriages are suspect and also means, amongst many things a range of society that’s raising the next two generations of children are engaged in an anti-social building practice: Lawnmowers can’t do that.

These predilections have initiated new human protocols: young women awaken in the morning and go directly to social media and start speaking as if they are speaking to best friends or actual fans.  They engage with comments as if these BOTS/Followers actually care for them.

Imagine you live in a home with someone obsessed with and by social media: you do everything to make your home loving and peaceful.  But that person engaged with some unknown and probably unreal person OUTSIDE YOUR LIVES, brings the tensions and disagreements with that person or thing into your private life!  Think upon that: you private life is constantly subject to the nothingness of some unknown aliens interloper with the power to change the mood of our loved one…and alter the mood and focus of your home.

I believe in deep listening to those about whom we care, but don’t think I could bear listening to the digital rubbish from some social media ghetto and not think the person trying to explain it to me has lost their cotton picking mind!

Worse,when the fake digital crowd leaves the obsessed for the next batch of 18 year olds…they crash psychologically…and depending on what they’ve done online, they may recover only in their mid-30s, now having emptied their youth for nothing without learning, practising or developing proper social skills.

2. For young men, because social media actively promotes a false sense of value for women, young men are bereft of meaningful female interaction, or they face imperious arrogance fuelled by social media delusions.  Now that’s changing?  Why? Because - whilst many of their fathers are on onlyfans - AI is building sexual companions - both online and as robots - and these young men are adopting these fake relations and preferable because they satisfy a single urge in an unlimited manner.

In one episode, a company made a sex robot with docile and “grape” settings.  The latter was preferred.  This makes for a society where young men from 16-27 may learn their basic sexual interaction for interactive porn and robots…which makes for a dangerous world for actual women.

All these modes are fed and feed from clinically tested additive processes deliberately manipulated by social media companies, in addition to colonialising private data, to a point that will make democracy and the nation-state impossibilities.

These are not - by any measure - and not by orders of magnitude anything like ANYTHING we’ve ever known.  Beyond these personal psychological corruptions is broad structural catastrophe that is underway already.

For those who say, but AI would generate new jobs - part of the daft unthinking galloping nonsense oft repeated - think sensibly, a job is a value or earning proposition: if humans make new jobs after AI takes their job…AI would just take the new jobs too, since that maximises income.

Why would AI companies allow humans to earn money when they could and AI could make new AI to take any new job ‘ad infinitum’!

Let’s stop talking nonsense and recognise existential threats to our civilisational models. 

Finally, social media has been successful in dividing humans through psychological manipulation and the undermining of facts.  Keyboard Idiot barkers argue with research professors and think themselves informed by google searches and confirmation biases; which they can’t grasp even when explained.

Yes, we all know social media allows one to connect with cousins, old school friends and to see whether one’s high school love has gotten old and fat.  Meanwhile AI has made stupendous medical advances.  But actual knowledge teaches us the gradient logic of the “double edged” sword: just the energy demand and AI business model will mean:

1. It undermines the labour/wage economic models

2. Even as its makes medical and educational advances

3. Therefore, if you’re jobless, you get nothing from those advances

4. Those advances are distributed to a new super elite class, as the wealth gap widens and political systems become more useless than they are now.

It’s astonishing how people convince themselves that society will suddenly do a good it’s never done, because technology has the capacity for that good.

LISTEN: nearly 90% of AI will aim at building surveillance, control, and weapons.

Why?

Because those generate power…and power grants dominant status…and despite the Old and New Testament and all the loving talk and wisdom books of history…..power and dominant status - I tell you - have been the only sustained ambitions of humankind! 

Governments should have begun 5 years ago to take emergency measures through high level technical task forces: social media and AI impacts are not collateral to national well being…they are central.  The world is being divided…and countries that lack control over their digital architecture, social media, AI deployment, systems construction and maintenance will become digitally colonised.

There is zero option now for partnering with tech giants….since they are already richer than 80% of the world’s nations.  Countries like China, Estonia, India, Singapore and Norway are the last best hope to gain a ready-made solution that does not compromise national security completely.

A hint to the wise!


Source / Comment

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

U.S. Department of State Imposes Visa Restrictions on Haitian Council Member - Haiti



Visa Restrictions Placed on Haitian Council Member,  Fritz Alphonse Jean - an Official of The Haiti Government


Who is Fritz Alfonse Jean


Visa Restrictions of Haitian Official Supporting Gangs and Other Criminal Organizations in Haiti


Today the Department of State is taking steps to impose visa restrictions on a Haitian government official for supporting gangs and other criminal organizations, and obstructing the government of Haiti’s fight against terrorist gangs designated as Foreign Terrorist Organizations.   This action is taken under INA 212(a)(3)(C), which generally bars entrance to those whose entry or proposed activities have potentially serious adverse foreign policy consequences for the United States.   The Department will revoke any currently valid visas held by this individual.

This policy, first announced in October 2022, targets individuals (and their family members) who provide financial or material support to gangs and criminal organizations operating in Haiti.

The United States remains committed to supporting Haiti’s stability and expects measurable progress toward free and fair elections.   The Haitian people have had enough with gang violence, destruction, and political infighting.  The Trump Administration will promote accountability for those who continue to destabilize Haiti and our region.


Source

 

Sunday, November 9, 2025

How Could Artificial Intelligence (AI) Make a Rewardingly Productive Difference in Infrastructure in Latin America and The Caribbean?



Al Tech Benefits




Artifical Intelligence (AI) as An Efficient Driver of Development in Latin America and Caribbean




The critical infrastructure sectors in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) face growing challenges that threaten their efficiency and sustainability.  Roads, power grids, water systems and public transportation networks show signs of aging and obsolescence, increasing maintenance costs and reducing the quality of services.


Against this backdrop, the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) is exploring how artificial intelligence (AI) can be applied to infrastructure.  For example, in public transportation, route optimization algorithms are helping reduce travel times and congestion.  In water and sanitation, predictive models make it possible to detect leaks and anticipate outages in distribution networks.  In energy, AI is used to forecast demand and facilitate the integration of renewable energy at scale.


These advances and lessons are covered in the IDB’s publication “AI from the Ground Up: Challenges and Opportunities in the context of Latin America and the Caribbean”, which presents real-world cases, recommendations, and practical guidelines on how AI can become a key tool to strengthen the region’s critical infrastructure.


Challenges for Our Infrastructure


Infrastructure in the region faces challenges such as aging physical structures, accelerated urbanization, population growth, and the impact of climate events.  The consequences include disruptions in essential services and rising costs of use, which lead to unequal access.


However, technology can help reverse these trends.  IDB estimates suggest that a 15% reduction in infrastructure service costs through the efficient use of digital technologies could increase the GDP of Latin America and the Caribbean by 6% over the next 10 years.


How AI Can Make a Difference in Infrastructure


Although more than 40% of public agencies in transportation and energy in LAC lack a clear digital transformation strategy, any entity can implement AI-based projects.  In critical infrastructure sectors, the implementation of machine learning models is already within reach for many governments and organizations.

Some concrete examples show this potential in the region across three areas:

  • Energy: AI systems predict consumption patterns and help balance supply and demand, facilitating the integration of intermittent renewable energies such as solar and wind.

  • Water and sanitation: Predictive models supported by smart sensors allow detection of invisible leaks and anticipation of pipe ruptures, reducing water losses and maintenance costs.
  • Transportation: Traffic optimization algorithms help reduce congestion and improve route efficiency in urban public transport.

Effective AI Adoption


The report offers the following recommendations to unlock AI’s potential in critical infrastructure sectors:

  • Adopt agile methodologies that include proof of concepts, prototypes, and minimum viable products.  These tools make it possible to experiment with AI-based solutions before scaling them.

  •  Establish organizational structures that drive AI adoption, ensuring that teams have the necessary technical skills.

  • Data quality determines the success of AI projects.   Building high-quality data requires identifying sources, designing efficient data flows, and ensuring adequate architectures for storage and processing.

  • Evaluate infrastructure requirements from the outset, especially storage and computing capacities needed for AI models.

  • Ensure that AI models address specific and measurable problems, based on data quality, computing capacity, explainability, and performance.

  • Incorporate ethical principles from the design stage, addressing privacy, security, and transparency to build trust in solutions.

AI as a Driver of Development


We invite you to explore these recommendations in detail in “AI from the Ground Up: Challenges and Opportunities in the context of Latin America and the Caribbean.”

Source / Comment

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Energy is the impediment that will drive the geopolitics behind enterprise tech and AI dominance

There isn’t enough power in the developed world for deployment of these new technologies for even 50% of population, much less AI countries


AI Technologies


REMARKS: H.E. Ambassador Professor Gilbert Morris at Bahamas Diplomtic Week Forum on AI and Development


Ambassador Professor Gilbert Morris
I have only just returned from 10 weeks of lectures and seminars on “AI and the Human Future” in China, Singapore, London, Panama, Mexico and California; which included touring the facilities of the companies and engaging with the individuals who are designing the human future, together with those financing them.

The aim was to both to gain and to explain the actual state of affairs of the coming techno-centric human future:

It’s necessary to state hard facts that are beyond mere opinions or positive or negative perceptions:

1. Only 7% of world’s nations produce any AI tech.  This means 93% have little to no say in AI architecture, design or deployment.  Our definitions of “keeping pace with innovation” usually means someone else’s innovations!

2. In today’s world, that “someone else’s” will be increasingly a non-state actor: Google’s “Gemini” or Anthropic’s “Claude” - Facebook or NVIDA are all larger that 90% of the worlds nations in valuation terms and there is nothing small states can do to get them to alter their technologies for our benefit.

3. Of the 93% of nations left, about 1/3rd are role model states - Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Finland, New Zealand etc - with exceptions like India, Singapore and Estonia.  These states don’t manufacture enterprise technology, but they have the means to acquire and manufacture components of enterprise tech, which gives them leverage.

4. The rest are spilt in two; neither of which has leverage: first are mere consumers of tech, whose systems and infrastructure will change to conform to the tech they commune.  Second is the abject “digital divide” where they they will have to make do with dregs and second-hand tech.  They will - by current structures - live off the scraps.

5. ⁠The Promised Balance is Eroding: AI has had diagnostic breakthroughs in health and public-facing innovations in immigration and eGovernment in Singapore and Estonia, for instance.  But the innovations are outpacing the very concept of the nation state, as technology is developing faster than societies, economic and legal systems can adapt.

6. ⁠Social Media now enhanced in impact and speed-of-spread by AI, is producing distortions of reality and neuro-cognitive atrophies; which has reached crisis levels amongst young people and crisis levels in schools and universities.  More than 2 dozen nations have banned social media access for children at school or between 7pm and 7am; with China limiting social media to 2 hours per day for children.

7. ⁠At the heart of social tech is personal identity: Estonia solved this by declaring that a citizen is now the unity of one’s Biological and Virtual self; a unified identity.  Estonia also made internet access a Human Right in their Constitution; additionally, Estonia held their last 8 General Elections online for 1.3 million people.  In Estonia, AI does not replace people but is structured and used to enhance human life and social systems.

URGENT PRIORITIES:

1. We need humane technologies that prioritises humans and enhances human living systems rather than render humans useless.  Some sociologists argue that we are too divided for to generate the needed solutions.  But I find that people are not divided: “they are being divided” for the benefit of a few tech companies.

2. ⁠Social mapping, Economic Mapping, Health and Payments tech, Plurality Systems aimed at enhancing political participation are the best uses for AI and enterprise technologies.

3. ⁠The problem - AGAIN - is, small nations in the 93% don’t create this tech and it’s being designed by those creating it for human control rather than human enhancement.

4. ⁠Small nations must urgently align and cooperate to ensure tech deployment at a pace of social absorption, without the ill-effects of limbic-colonialism or dopamine lust!

5. ⁠Small nations must convene a global congress aimed at setting new rules that will change our economic models across the world more in the next 3 years than the last 1,300 years.

6. ⁠But there are additionally two main crucial matters:

a. Even if managed well, AI will induce massive labour destabilisation.  It’s not enough to say it will create jobs because AI companies will create AI to take those jobs too.  Some advise a switch to Universal Basic Income (IBI).  But UBI can’t be universal: manufacturing nations would have no UBI whilst non-manufacturing nations would have it, so as to create a market for transactions.  This needs to be mapped out immediately.

b. There isn’t enough power in the developed world for deployment of these new technologies for even 50% of population, much less al countries.  Energy is the impediment that will drive the geopolitics behind enterprise tech and AI dominance. 


Source / Comment

Monday, September 15, 2025

A Booming Economy Spawns Political Corruption and Impunity

Politicians become more corrupt during economic booms, not because citizens stop caring, but because good times make corruption harder to detect and less likely to be punished


Flourishing Economy

When the Economy Booms, So Do Corruption and Impunity


By  - 



Citizens in Latin America and the Caribbean often associate corruption with economic crises.  Since 2016, survey data show that individuals who believe their country’s economy has worsened are significantly more likely to say that most politicians are corrupt.  But are politicians actually more corrupt when the economy is bad, or are citizens just more sensitive to misconduct during downturns?

In a new IDB study, we explore how economic conditions influence corruption and the willingness of citizens to hold politicians accountable.  Combining theory and experimental evidence, we reveal a surprising pattern: politicians become more corrupt during economic booms, not because citizens stop caring, but because good times make corruption harder to detect and less likely to be punished.


A Theoretical Model to Test Citizens and Politicians’ Behavior


To study this phenomenon, we designed a theoretical model where citizens fund public goods through taxes, and politicians decide whether to allocate those funds honestly or siphon some off as private rent.  Citizens can then choose to punish politicians, at a personal cost, such as joining a protest or pursuing legal means, if they believe corruption occurred.

Good economic conditions are modeled as reductions in the cost of creating public goods.  This is equivalent to what happens in many countries in Latin America when local authorities receive additional funds because the price of abundant natural resources goes up or when exchange rates make it cheaper to buy inputs.  When the cost of producing public goods falls, politicians can offer more goods for the same level of taxes.  That makes it harder to detect when politicians skim money.  Moreover, citizens may be less inclined to punish them, even when they suspect foul play.


A Laboratory Experiment


To test these ideas, we ran a laboratory experiment with 800 university students in Colombia.  Participants played the roles of either citizens or politicians, making decisions across several rounds that mimicked the incentives and uncertainties of real political life.  The citizens received money with which to pay taxes, which were then transferred to the politicians.  The politicians then had to decide how much to allocate of those funds to provide public goods (and how much they could pocket).  In some rounds, the cost of producing public goods—manifested in real money—was high (bad times), and in others, it was low (good times).  Once citizens observed the public goods provided, they could decide to punish the politicians by reducing their salary if they believed the politician had been corrupt, mimicking what would happen in real life if voters decided to vote the politician out of office.   

The results were clear: corruption increased by 14% when the economy improved.  Meanwhile, the rate at which citizens’ punished politicians remained mostly stable, but their ability to detect corruption and their desire to respond to it was weakened.

One of the most striking results came from what politicians expected: they believed they were less likely to be punished during good times, and they were right to think so.  The public goods looked better, even when the politicians had skimmed off the top, and citizens were less likely to act on their suspicions.  As a result, politicians had stronger incentives to engage in corrupt behavior.

It is worth noting that because public goods are usually provided by the different levels of government (local or municipal, state or provincial, national) and citizens have a hard time disentangling who provided what, corruption can be further obscured by the actions of other levels of government.  That is, a local corrupt politician may not be voted out of office if at the same time the higher levels of government are investing heavily in the district.


Upending Assumptions About the Economy and Corruption


This study upends the assumption that corruption thrives only in times of hardship.  Instead, it shows that booms may shield misconduct by creating the illusion of competent governance.  Politicians can skim off the top without triggering alarm bells, especially when citizens are materially satisfied or politically cynical.  For policymakers, the implications are clear: oversight and accountability mechanisms are crucial even when things seem to be going well.  Transparency in public spending, citizen access to detailed budget information, and clear attribution of public goods provision (who funded what) can help make corruption more visible and accountability more effective. Otherwise, periods of prosperity may come with hidden costs—not just in money lost, but in trust eroded.

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Saturday, August 30, 2025

Awakened to the new geopolitical agenda in the Caribbean

The dawn of a new geopolitical agenda in the Caribbean region



Deo Adjuvante, Non Timendum

“With God as My Helper, I Have Nothing to Fear”


Politics in the Caribbean

The Bombastic geopolitical politics of the region 


Dr. Kevin J Turnquest-Alcena
Nassau, N.P., The Bahamas

As we sit and meditate in The Bahamas, our region is waking up to a new geopolitical agenda.  Guyana is heading to the polls on the first of the month, Jamaica follows with its general election on the third, and Venezuela shows signs of anxiety and paranoia.  We must be mindful of one fact: America will not invade Venezuela.  Instead, we must learn to recognize the art of propaganda and the craft of deceit.  These two forces dance like partners in a Machiavellian tango.

Brazil sits quietly, watching as the wider region anticipates a shift in direction.  This is the complexity of our world: nations caught between hope and manipulation, where the ambitions of men can easily pull us into conflict.  And when that conflict erupts, history reminds us there are no heroes, only survivors.

“The greatest victory is that which requires no battle.” — Sun Tzu

We must understand that the strength of a nation lies not in war, but in the wisdom to avoid it.  We should reflect deeply on the lessons of Vietnam and Afghanistan, where decades of bloodshed proved that there are no true winners in wars of intimidation.

Point One: The Role of Regional Unity

One of the greatest weaknesses of the Caribbean has been its fragmentation.  Each island often pursues its own agenda while outside powers exploit division.  The Caribbean Community (CARICOM) was designed to strengthen cooperation, yet its voice is too often muted on global stages.  If we fail to speak as one, we risk being manipulated as many small pieces rather than one strong collective.

“Unity is strength… when there is teamwork and collaboration, wonderful things can be achieved.” — Mattie Stepanek

Point Two: The Economic Battlefield

Geopolitics is not only about armies.  It is also about economics.  Foreign powers use loans, trade deals, and aid packages as weapons of influence.  The region must be careful not to trade independence for short-term financial relief.  Debt diplomacy is as dangerous as military occupation because it shackles future generations to decisions made in desperation.

“It is not the creation of wealth that is wrong, but the love of money for its own sake.” — Margaret Thatcher

Point Three: The Importance of Youth and Education

The future of the Caribbean does not belong to the politicians of today but to the youth who will inherit tomorrow.  Education must prepare our young people not only for jobs, but for leadership, diplomacy, and critical thinking.  If our region fails to invest in its human capital, we will remain vulnerable to external manipulation.  A population that cannot think critically is easily swayed by propaganda.

“Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world.” — Nelson Mandela

Point Four: Climate Change as a Political Weapon

The politics of the region cannot be separated from the reality of climate change.  Rising seas, stronger hurricanes, and environmental stress place small island nations at risk.  Wealthy countries make promises of aid and green funding, yet often use climate negotiations to exert influence over poorer nations.  For the Caribbean, survival itself is political, and climate change is now part of geopolitics.

“We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors; we borrow it from our children.” — Native American Proverb

Point Five: Venezuela and the True Prize of Oil

At the center of much of this regional tension is Venezuela, a nation that sits on the largest proven oil reserves in the world.  This wealth of natural resources makes Venezuela a constant point of contention.  For decades, outside powers have eyed Venezuelan oil as if it were a prize for the taking.  Yet we must be clear: Venezuelan oil belongs to the Venezuelan people, not to Washington, Beijing, or any foreign capital.

Exiled Venezuelans who were driven away by political repression yearn to return home not only to reclaim democracy, but also to reclaim the oil wealth that rightfully belongs to them and their children.  Oil should be a national inheritance that lifts Venezuelans out of poverty, not a bargaining chip in global power games.  The true prize of Venezuela’s oil is the survival and prosperity of Venezuela itself.

“Natural resources should serve humanity, not dominate it.” — Wangari Maathai

Point Six: Security and Migration

Instability in one nation often spills into its neighbors.  The Caribbean has seen waves of migration from Venezuela and Haiti, placing pressure on small island states with limited resources.  This is not just a humanitarian challenge but also a political and security issue.  Increased migration fuels debates about border control, law enforcement, and social stability.  How the region responds will determine whether it embraces compassion and order, or allows chaos and division to spread.

“Peace is not merely a distant goal that we seek, but a means by which we arrive at that goal.” — Martin Luther King Jr.

Point Seven: Macha Positioning and Geopolitical Posture

Another layer of politics in the region is what can be called macha positioning.  This is the display of strength, the flexing of influence, and the posturing of nations without committing to open war.  Countries use military exercises, diplomatic statements, and economic alliances to show dominance and intimidate rivals.  It is a game of appearances, where leaders project toughness to secure leverage at the negotiation table.

The danger of macha positioning is that it can create unnecessary tensions.  Pride and image become more important than peace and cooperation.  History shows us that wars have often been sparked not by necessity, but by leaders refusing to lose face.  The Caribbean must be wise enough to avoid becoming a stage for these dangerous displays of bravado.

“It is not power that corrupts, but fear.  Fear of losing power corrupts those who wield it.” — Aung San Suu Kyi

“More the knowledge, lesser the ego. Lesser the knowledge, more the ego.” — Albert Einstein

“War does not determine who is right, only who is left.” — Bertrand Russell

Conclusion

The Caribbean stands at a crossroads.  Its unity, economic independence, and the education of its youth are the pillars that will determine whether the region thrives or falters.  Climate change and migration test our resilience, while Venezuela’s oil reminds us that the true wealth of nations lies in the hands of their own people.

Macha positioning and external pressures challenge our ability to act with wisdom rather than ego.  To navigate this complex landscape, the Caribbean must prioritize cooperation over division, long-term vision over short-term gain, and vigilance over impulse.  Only by putting people first, respecting sovereignty, and embracing strategic patience can the region safeguard peace and prosperity for generations to come.


August 29, 2025


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